Saturday, June 14, 2008

Hasta siempre Comandante...14 de junio 2008. - 1928-1967


Hasta siempre Comandante...frases célebres de Ernesto Che Guevara
Aporrea.org - www.aporrea.org
14/06/08 - www.aporrea.org/ideologia/n115509.html
El comandante argentino-cubano Ernesto Ché Guevara
Credito: pl


(14 de junio 2008. - 1928-1967). Revolucionario y líder político latinoamericano, cuya negativa a adherirse tanto al capitalismo como al comunismo ortodoxo le convirtió en un héroe de los nuevos grupos izquierdistas que surgieron en la década de 1960.

Nació el 14 de Junio de 1928 en Rosario, provincia de Santa Fé (Argentina) y obtuvo el Doctorado en Medicina por la Universidad de Buenos Aires en 1953. Convencido de que la revolución era la única solución posible para acabar con las injusticias sociales existentes en Latinoamérica, en 1954 marchó a México, donde se unió al Movimiento 26 de Julio, grupo integrado por revolucionarios cubanos exiliados a las órdenes de Fidel Castro. A finales de la década de 1950, jugó un importante papel en la lucha de guerrillas iniciada por Castro contra el dictador cubano Fulgencio Batista.

Desapareció de Cuba en 1965, reapareciendo al año siguiente en Bolivia, como líder de los campesinos y mineros bolivianos contrarios al gobierno militar. Fue capturado por la CIA y el Ejército boliviano y fusilado cerca de Vallegrande el 9 de octubre de 1967.

Frases celebres de Ernesto Che Guevara:

1. "Prefiero morir de pie, a vivir arrodillado."

2. "Seamos realistas y hagamos lo imposible."

3. "Podrán morir las personas, pero jamás sus ideas."

4. "Recuerden que el eslabón más alto que puede alcanzar la especie humana es ser revolucionario."

5. "Todos los días la gente se arregla el cabello, ¿por qué no el corazón?."

6. "La revolución es algo que se lleva en el alma, no en la boca para vivir de ella."

7. "Si el presente es de lucha, el futuro es nuestro."

8. "Sean capaces siempre de sentir, en lo más hondo, cualquier injusticia realizada contra cualquiera, en cualquier parte del mundo. Es la cualidad más linda del revolucionario."

La Prensa and the FSLN-FMLN Connection




La Prensa is the flagship newspaper of Nicaragua’s traditional oligarchy and right wing sectors. It casts itself as “the daily newspaper of all Nicaraguans,” “in the service of truth and justice.” But notwithstanding such claims, it is merely the voice of the Nicaraguan right wing. Its editorial board functions as their version of a politburo, formulating a line to steer the country in accord with their class social and economic interests.

La Prensa campaigns daily to unite what they call “democratic forces” in Nicaragua which means any and all parties except the FSLN. They are especially sympathetic to the ex FSLN forces such as the MRS who want to ally with Liberal forces around Eduardo Montealegre, now the PLC candidate for Managua’s mayoralty.

The following editorial gives an idea of their chronic and visceral hostility to the FSLN and to revolutionary forces in other countries such as the Bolivarian movement in Venezuela, now organized in the PSUV (United Socialist Party of Venezuela), whose principal leader is Hugo Chávez.

The editorial writer reveals a superficial knowledge of Marxism and makes a few errors on the revolutionary history of Latin America (hence the addition of a few footnotes to clarify certain misleading or erroneous statements in the text, added by the translator, Felipe Stuart C.

Managua


The FSLN-FMLN Connection
La Prensa Editorial, June 12, 2008

The governing FSLN party has denied, although in an extra official manner, information published by the Salvadoran daily La Prensa Gráfica, and reproduced in communications media in Nicaragua. According to this report, a message was found in one of the computers of the deceased second chief of the FARC, who went by the name “Raúl Reyes” It says that one thousand militants of the Frente Farabundo Martí para la Liberación Nacional (FMLN) of El Salvador proctored the November 2006 election in Nicaragua and helped foster the electoral victory of Daniel Ortega.

It is understandable that the FSLN would deny the veracity of the information. But those who know the political history of Central America, and particularly that of Nicaragua and El Salvador, cannot be surprised by this news of a connection of the Sandinista Front with the Salvadoran FMLN, and with the FARC of Colombia. Would it really be strange, in reality, to find a message in the computer of “Raul Reyes” that says “Daniel (Ortega) has a very good position with them (that is, with the FARC) and with revolutionary movements,” when Ortega himself said that the ancient maximum leader of the FARC, Manuel Marulanda or “Tirofijo,” was his comrade and brother? Ortega even presented Marulanda with the “Orden Augusto C. Sandino” medal, on January 13, 1999. He was the only one among the left governments of Latin America who sent a condolence message to the Colombian terrorist narcoguerrilla upon Marulanda’s death.

Moreover, it is very well known that all the leftist and revolutionary organizations of the world maintain solidarity between them, coordinate actions of common interest, and practice so called revolutionary, socialist, or proletarian internationalism, which originates in the concept that Karl Marx imprinted in the 1848 Communist Manifesto, that “workers have no country.”

According to Karl Marx the communist revolution would be realized in an inevitable manner on an international scale. Later, the Russian Vladimir Ulianov, alias Lenin, formulated the Marxist doctrine, establishing the thesis that the revolution would triumph in the beginning only in some countries, even just one country, as occurred in Russia in 1917. That, however, would not signify renouncing revolutionary internationalism or the world communist revolution.

In the 60s of the 20th Century, Che Guevara and Fidel Castro promoted the communist revolution in the Third World, through an extremist organization called “Tricontinental,” [1] created in 1965 in Havana, Cuba. Two years later, also in Havana, the Organization of Latin American Solidarity (OLAS) [2] was founded as Tricontinental’s Latin American branch. When the Sandinista revolution triumphed in 1979 the representative of the United States government, William Bowdler, offered US friendship and economic cooperation to the victorious comandantes of the FSLN in exchange for them not trying to export the revolution to El Salvador and other Central American counties. However, the Sandinista comandantes, although giving verbal assurances that they would not export their revolution, in practice conspired with the FMLN of El Salvador and even sent Nicaraguan combatants to that country. As well, they established camps for political preparation and military training for leftist militants from other Central American countries, including peaceful and very democratic Costa Rica.

Now, under the flag of so called “21st Century socialism,” the president of Venezuela, Hugo Chávez, with enthusiastic support from Daniel Ortega, is promoting the formation of a continental revolutionary army and has taken up the call made by Che Guevara in the 60s of the 20th Century to create “many Vietnams” in Latin America, to counter the United States and allow the communist revolution to triumph in all Latin American countries.

So it is not at all strange that the Salvadoran FMLN and the Nicaraguan FSLN cooperate with each other, according to the information published by La Prensa Gráfica of El Salvador about what was discovered in the computer of “Raúl Reyes.” Nevertheless this is something that should be investigated by democratic deputies in the National Assembly, at least to safeguard appearances.[3]
____________________________________________________________

[1] Tricontinental was the magazine of the Organization of Solidarity with the People of Asia, Africa and Latin America (OSPAAL). See its official site at http://www.ospaaal.org/ . See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tricontinental_Conference and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tricontinental -- Also see Green Let Weekly’s report “New situation demands unity: OSPAAAL” at http://www.greenleft.org.au/1995/177/12532

[2] OLAS - Organization of Latin American Solidarity. Founded in 1967, its high point of activity followed its founding congress in Havana and the its official declaration. Following the assassination of Che Guevara in Bolivia and the defeat of this the guerrilla force he led, OLAS went into decline and ceased to function. Its mission is now carried out though diverse initiatives such as ALBA (Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas ([see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bolivarian_Alternative_for_the_Americas ].

[3] La Prensa has never editorialized against massive presence of "democracy trainers" from the USA financed by millions of USA dollars from such outfits such as the Republican Party and the NED (National Endowment for Democracy). Even the MRS has benefited from money from the USA to train its scrutineers. Nor has the oligarchy's politburo ever protested the fact that the US Embassy is addicted to participating in Nicaraguan elections. In the last national elections they backed Eduardo Montealege, also La Prensa's favored child. For La Prensa the empire is entitled to run the show in Nicaragua, but is is an act of delinquency for the left to engage in international solidarity and collaboration. Their imperial and class interests could not be better illuminated.

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

From Che to Chávez

* Richard Gott
The dramatic appeal by the Venezuelan president Hugo
Chávez, suggesting to the Farc guerrillas in Colombia that
it is time to release their hostages and to abandon the
armed struggle, is a serious challenge to the Colombian
government of Alvaro Uribe, which has long pursued a
military solution to a rural conflict that has lasted for
more than half a century. Chávez has often criticised the
Farc (the "Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia") for
their practice of seizing and holding civilian hostages,
but this is the first time that he has called for them to
give up fighting. "The guerrilla war has passed into
history," he said on Sunday during his regular weekly
television programme, and he again requested to Farc to
make "a grand humanitarian gesture" by releasing their
hostages. These are believed to number more than 700, and
include three US defence contractors and Ingrid Betancourt,
a French-Colombian citizen (and former presidential
candidate) in whom the French president Nicolas Sarkozy has
taken a personal interest.

In making his call, Chávez is clearly taking advantage of
the new situation created by the recent death of Manuel
Marulanda, the Farc's leader since the 1960s, as well as by
the probable arrival in the White House next January of
Barack Obama, who has promised fresh policies towards Latin
America, invoking the once seemingly progressive projects
of earlier Democrat presidents like Franklin Roosevelt (the
"Good Neighbour" policy) and John Kennedy (the "Alliance
for Progress"). A new US president, paying proper attention
to Latin America for the first time in 20 years, demands a
fresh response.


The Farc, whose origins go back to the Liberal-Conservativ e
civil war in Colombia of the 1940s and 1950s, was always
markedly different from the other Latin American guerrilla
movements, inspired by Che Guevara, that emerged in the
1960s in the wake of the successful Cuban revolution. A
genuine peasant-based army (as opposed to irregular bands
led by urban intellectuals) , the Farc believed in the
necessity of politicising the peasantry, rather as the
narodniks had tried to do in Russia in the 19th century.
But in Latin America, as I wrote nearly 40 years ago in my
book Guerrilla Movements in Latin America (republished this
month by the Seagull Press), "this type of activity is
impossible without gun in hand. Political agitation, the
organisation of peasant unions, and the holding of strikes
is often illegal. The power of local landowners, reinforced
by that of the state, is used to repress incipient signs of
rebellion."

Those conditions still exist in parts of Colombia, where
trade unionists remain under permanent threat and where
paramilitary units work hand in glove with landowners, yet
in the rest of Latin America the memory of Che Guevara is
now kept alive on T-shirts rather than through the
monstrous rattle of machine-guns that he had once (along
with Wilfred Owen) so poetically evoked. The task in
Colombia is to engineer a peace process that will allow the
guerrillas to lay down their arms, and guide the country
towards the kind of social peace (and democratic argument)
that now exists in most of the continent. That has been the
hope of Chávez, ever since he accepted Uribe's request last
year to help in obtaining the release of the Farc's
hostages (and the release of Farc prisoners in Colombian
jails).

The Farc has been much weakened in the past year,
with the loss of several senior figures as well as
Marulanda, and the current leadership may not have much of
a hegemonic grip over its fighters, making peace talks
difficult about anything more than a hostage/prisoner
exchange. Uribe has established a reputation as a tough and
unreliable negotiator, yet if he were to swallow his
hostility to Chávez, the only significant outside figure
with lines open to the Farc, and to come under pressure in
the new year from Washington, his only ally, the longest
war in Latin America could now be brought to an end.

This article was first published on guardian.co. uk on
Monday June 09 2008. It was last updated at 16:30 on June
09 2008. http://www.guardian .co.uk/commentis free/2008/ jun/09/venezuela .colombia

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Che Guevara’s Final Verdict on the Soviet Economy

Ernesto Che Guevara

This article by veteran Canadian socialist John Riddell appeared in the June 8 edition of the Canadian digital publication Socialist Voice. Riddell is a co-editor of Socialist Voice. This publication has been one of the main sources of analytical information about the Cuban Revolution in Canada, and is a strong voice of solidarity with the Cuban people and nation in its struggle to advance the revolution and defend their country's independence and sovereignty.

The article is its own best introduction.

To read it in Socialist Voice, go to http://www.socialistvoice.ca/


June 8, 2008

By John Riddell

One of the most important developments in Cuban Marxism in recent years has been increased attention to the writings of Ernesto Che Guevara on the economics and politics of the transition to socialism.

A milestone in this process was the publication in 2006 by Ocean Press and Cuba’s Centro de Estudios Che Guevara of Apuntes criticos a la economía política [Critical Notes on Political Economy], a collection of Che’s writings from the years 1962 to 1965, many of them previously unpublished. The book includes a lengthy excerpt from a letter to Fidel Castro, entitled “Some Thoughts on the Transition to Socialism.” In it, in extremely condensed comments, Che presented his views on economic development in the Soviet Union.[1]

In 1965, the Soviet economy stood at the end of a period of rapid growth that had brought improvements to the still very low living standards of working people. Soviet prestige had been enhanced by engineering successes in defense production and space exploration. Most Western observers then considered that it showed more dynamism than its U.S. counterpart.

At that time, almost the entire Soviet productive economy was owned by the state. It was managed by a privileged bureaucracy that consolidated its control in the 1920s under the leadership of Joseph Stalin. Managers were rewarded on the basis of fulfilling production norms laid down from above; workers were commonly paid by the piece.

Political economy of the transition

Che’s analysis was more pessimistic than most Western commentators, pointing to problems rooted in the Soviet economy’s fundamental nature. Far from being socialist in character, he said, this economy actually yoked together incompatible elements, both capitalist and non-capitalist. He also pointed out that the “political economy” — that is, the political and economic laws of motion — of societies in transition to socialism “has not yet been formulated, let alone studied.”[2]

His diagnosis, unique in its time, identified key weaknesses that contributed to the Soviet economy’s stagnation, decline, and finally, only 25 years later, its total collapse.

In “Thoughts on the Transition,” Che traces the troubles of the Soviet economy back to the introduction in 1921, under Lenin’s leadership, of the New Economic Policy (NEP), which “opened the door to the old capitalist production relationships.” Che notes that “Lenin called these relationships state capitalism.”[3]

In the final period of his life, Lenin questioned the “presumed usefulness” of NEP categories such as “profits” in relations among state enterprises, Che says. Further, Lenin was disturbed by ominous divisions inside the Communist Party, to which he drew attention in his final writings. “If [Lenin] had lived, he would have quickly altered the relationships established under the NEP.” But in fact, “the economic and legal framework of Soviet society today is based on the NEP, and incorporates the old capitalist relationships.”

Incompatible elements

Che says that the capitalist features of Soviet society may be termed “pre-monopolist” because they lack the dynamism of competition and cooperation that produced capitalist trusts like General Motors and Ford. “The current system restricts development through capitalist competition but does not abolish its categories or establish new categories on a higher level,” he says. Individual material interest has supposedly become the lever for development, but is robbed of its effectiveness by the fact that Soviet society “does not exhibit exploitation,” Che says.[4] Given the presence of these capitalist features in Soviet societies, he states, “humanity does not develop its spectacular productive potential and does not emerge as the conscious architect of the new society.”

Capitalist competition and exploitation having been abolished, what can serve as the driving force of economic development?, Che asks. The USSR relies on material incentives, but these reproduce the social irresponsibility characteristic of capitalism.

Moreover, material incentives are extended to “non-productive economic sectors” and applied also to the “leaders,” thus “opening the door to corruption” — a phenomenon that was to become pervasive in the Soviet bureaucracy.

It follows logically that such a privileged officialdom will develop distinct political interests and goals antagonistic to those of working people in the Soviet Union and worldwide. Che’s well-documented criticisms of Soviet foreign policy — for example its failure to lend effective assistance to Vietnam, point to such a conclusion.[5] Forty years earlier, Leon Trotsky, leader of the Bolshevik opposition to the rise of Stalinism, held that the Russian revolution had been undermined by a self-interested and privileged bureaucratic caste. Che, however, did not say that bureaucratism in the Soviet Union had proceeded to that point.

Law of value

Economic management through material and profit-based incentives cannot bring the desired results, Che says, because in the Soviet context “the law of value does not have free play.” (The law of value is a principle of Marxist economics that holds, broadly speaking, that the prices of commodities are proportional to the amount of socially necessary labour time required to produce them.)

In the Soviet Union there is no competitive free market to reward the efficient producers and remove the inefficient, Che says. Instead, in the Soviet economy, in the last analysis, social needs take priority over market forces. The Soviet “must guarantee that the population receives a range of products at set prices,” and these prices thus “lose their link with capitalist value.”

Che offers no explanation of why Soviet authorities must subsidize the production of such consumer necessities. Among Cuban Communist leaders of the time, this fact required no explanation. They considered that, whatever the distortions of the Soviet state of the time, the working class remained in power, and had sufficient leverage to prevent the triumph of capitalist exploitation.

Soviet claims to be surging ahead of the United States economically, Che says, are based on references to higher Soviet production of steel and other basic industrial products. But this is misleading. “Steel is no longer a basic factor in measuring a country’s efficiency, because we now have chemistry, automation, non-ferrous metals — and besides, there’s the question of the steel’s quality. The U.S. produces less steel, but a great deal of it is of superior quality.”

Technological stagnation

Technical innovation in the U.S. reflected “a giddy advance” of capitalism based on “a range of totally new technologies far removed from the old productive techniques.” However, in the Soviet Union, “in most economic sectors, technology has remained relatively blocked.”

Che writes that “new societies achieve brilliant successes thanks to the revolutionary spirit of their first moments. But after that, progress is less swift, because “technology no longer operates as the driving force of society.”

There is, however, one area where Soviet technology has scored great successes, and that is precisely in the sector where social priorities hold unquestioned sway: defense production. “This is because it is not held to the standard of profitability.” Rather everything is structured to serve the new society by assuring its survival.

“But at this point the mechanism breaks down,” Che cautions. “The capitalists keep their defense apparatus closely united to their productive apparatus [as a whole].”

“All the great advances of the science of war pass over immediately to civilian technology, producing gigantic leaps forward in the quality of consumer goods. None of this takes place in the Soviet Union: the two compartments are walled off from each other.”

These weaknesses of the Soviet economy have been transplanted to the more economically developed societies of Eastern Europe, where they have sparked a reaction against “the plague of bureaucracy and of excessive centralization.” But the result is to give the enterprises “more and more independence in the struggle for a free market.” Meanwhile the state in these countries “begins to be transformed into a guardian of capitalist relationships.”

Factories are closed, and “Yugoslav — and now Polish — workers emigrate” to Western Europe. “They are slaves,” Che remarks acidly, “offered by the socialist countries [to serve] the technological development of the European Common Market.”

Two principles

As an alternative to this course, Che counterposes two principles for which he had argued in Cuba’s debate on economic management during the previous three years.[6]

First, “communism is a phenomenon of consciousness” that cannot be captured by “quantitative economic measures.” There is no identification between communist society and high income per capita, and such income calculations are in any case an abstraction.

The second principle concerns technological innovation, the basis for expanded production of material goods. The “technological seeds of socialism are found much more in developed capitalism than in the old system of so-called economic calculation” which then prevailed in the Soviet Union. This system was “taken over from a capitalism that has now been superseded but that is nonetheless taken as a model for socialist development.”

Guevara is probably thinking here of the emphasis in Lenin’s post-1917 writings on the need to adopt the most modern techniques and organizational principles of the Western capitalist world of that time. In his view, these principles then became inalterable principles of the Soviet economy

Resistance to automation

The Soviet economy’s weakness is evident in its “backwardness … in adopting automation, compared to its truly startling progress in the capitalist countries.”

Che poses a hypothetical example: an oil refinery that needs to close down for a year for a complete technical overhaul. “What happens in the Soviet Union? Hundreds and perhaps thousands of such automation projects are piled up in the Academy of Science, but are not implemented because the factory directors cannot afford the luxury of not fulfilling their plan during a year.” What is more, “if the factory is automated, they will be ordered to get more production.”

Soviet factory managers were rewarded in terms of fulfillment of production norms set down in their ministry’s plan. In Che’s example, the manager of the automated factory gets penalized for the year of downtime and receives no compensating reward. “For them, achieving higher productivity is fundamentally of no concern.” Applying capitalist incentives to socialized enterprises thus obstructs technological advances while bringing none of the benefits of a true capitalist market.

The way forward is to “eliminate capitalist categories: commercial transactions among enterprises, bank interest, use of direct material incentives as a lever, etc., while adopting capitalism’s latest administrative and technological advances.”

Administration and technology

Che sees an example of such advanced administrative techniques in dominant capitalist corporations like General Motors, which, he points out, employs more workers than the entire Cuban nationalized economy. In such enterprises, administration is tightly linked to technology, and both are constantly in flux, adjusting to the development of capitalism as a whole. In socialism, by contrast, administration and technology “have been separated off as two different aspects of the problem, and one of them has remained totally static.”[7]

Referring ironically to the destructive effect of material stimulants, Che concludes that the challenge is “how to integrate people into their work in such a fashion that what we call ‘material disincentives’ will be unnecessary, that every worker will feel the urgent need to support the revolution and will thus experience work as a pleasure.”

Worker management

Che concedes that this is far from the case in Cuba. His critics, he says, are correct in pointing out that “workers do not participate in drawing up plans, in administration of state enterprises, and so on.” But the critics see the remedy for this in material incentives.

“This is the nub of the question. In our opinion it is an error to propose that the workers manage the enterprises … as representatives of the enterprise in an antagonistic relationship to the state.” Each worker should manage the enterprise “as one among many, as a representative of all the others [in society].”

Che’s concept of worker management based on revolutionary consciousness rather than material incentives is a decisive advance. It contrasts strikingly with all the models of economic management then current in the USSR and its allies, including both the top-down administrative centralization identified with the Stalin era and the profit-seeking self-managed enterprises of Yugoslavia.

Yet Che leaves his suggestion tantalizingly undeveloped. His text concludes on a note of puzzlement at the unresolved nature of the issues he is addressing — a tone reminiscent in some ways of Lenin’s final writings.[8]

Che endorses the widely held view that a centralized plan must utilize each element of production in a rational fashion, “and this cannot depend on [decisions of] a workers’ assembly or the outlook of a worker.” Still, he concedes, “when the central apparatus and intermediary levels have little knowledge, action by the workers is more useful, from a practical point of view.” One suspects that Che, in his practical experience, must often have found rank-and-file workers to have had more knowledge and better judgment than administrative cadres.

A note of uncertainty

Che’s text ends by emphasizing the unresolved nature of the problem. “Our experience has taught us two things that have become axiomatic: a well-place technical cadre can achieve much more than all the workers of a factory, and a leadership cadre assigned to a factory can transform it, for better or worse.” But why is it that a new factory manager can change everything? “We have not yet found any answer [to this question],” Che admits. The answer must be closely related, he concludes, to the still unformulated political economy of societies in transition to socialism.

The collection of Che’s writings in Apuntos critiquos makes available much of Che’s work devoted to laying foundations for such a political economy. It includes his trenchant critique of the official Soviet Manual of Political Economy and extensive minutes of Che’s meetings with collaborators in Cuba’s Ministry of Industry from 1962 to 1964. (Ocean Press has announced a forthcoming English-language edition.)

Yet when Che sent Fidel Castro these “Reflexiones,” he was not retiring to a period of study but advancing to the fields of revolutionary battle in Africa and Latin America. He evidently believed that the economic challenge he highlighted would be resolved above all through new revolutionary advances internationally.

‘21st Century Socialism’

.More than 40 years ago after Che fell in battle in Bolivia, his spirit is triumphant in the rise of revolutionary struggles in Latin America. The publication of Apuntes críticos is evidence of new attention in Cuba to Che’s theoretical writings, as the country searches for ways to continue its socialist experiment. Meanwhile, Venezuelan revolutionists have initiated a discussion of “21st Century Socialism” that builds on Che’s thought, while going beyond it in significant ways.

Like Che, Venezuela’s revolutionary Bolivarians reject the model of the Stalinist Soviet Union and aim instead to build a socialism founded on the initiative of the ranks. Like Che, they recoil from the danger of a bureaucratic layer of privileged officials. But where Che writes of “communist consciousness,” the Venezuelans talk of “protagonism.” This shifts the emphasis from individual awareness to agency, that is, to initiative, responsibility, and decision at the base. And the great campaigns of the Venezuelan revolutionary process — the “missions” — have implemented vast centralized projects for health care, education, housing, etc., by devolving authority downwards to rank-and-file committees and councils.

To be sure, Venezuela is still a capitalist society, in which the challenges of conquering the foundations of capitalist power and instituting workers’ management in the factories remain unresolved.

When capitalism has been overthrown and the main elements of the economy socialized, the political economy of the transitional society must resolve more than the challenge of properly balancing national planning with rank-and-file initiative. Economic problems must be solved: among them, how investment funds will be allocated; how the efficiency of investment will be measured; how raw materials will be allocated and their supply assured; and how prices will be set, as a basis both for accounting in the nationalized economy and for exchange in consumer markets.

A full answer to these questions, which would provide us with the “political economy of transition” that Che called for, has not yet been elaborated, and can be developed only through struggle and experience. Che’s insights, however, help pose these questions in a framework in which a solution can be formulated.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Footnotes

[1]. Ernesto Che Guevara, “Algunas reflexiones sobre la transición socialista,” in Apuntes críticos a la economía política, Ocean Books: Melbourne, 2006, pp. 9-20.

[2]. Che and other Cuban communist leaders of the time considered the Soviet Union and Communist-led states in Eastern Europe, North Korea, North Vietnam, China, and Cuba to be states that had overthrown capitalism and established the foundations for a transition to socialism. Some Marxists term such societies “workers’ states.” The Cuban view was contested in the workers’ movement at the time, above all by the Maoist leadership in China, which argued that the Soviet Union and its allies had by the 1960s returned to capitalism.

[3]. For Lenin’s final comments on this topic, see Lenin, Collected Works, Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1965, vol. 33, pp. 419-421 (“Fourth Congress of the Communist International” and 472-473 (“On Cooperation”). These and other writings by Lenin are also available at www.marxists.org.

[4]. The common, dictionary meaning of “exploitation” is mistreatment of people for the benefit of others. By that definition, the social privilege Che describes in the USSR would qualify as “exploitation.” But he was using the word in its Marxist sense, which refers to an inherent characteristic of wage labour under capitalism. Marxism holds that a portion of the value produced by a worker, the “surplus value,” is appropriated as profit by the employer, the owner of the means of production. Many Marxist opponents of Stalinism, including both Leon Trotsky and Che Guevara, denied that exploitation in this sense of the word took place in the USSR. This is disputed by those who claim that the USSR had by Che’s time returned to capitalism.

[5]. In “Message to the Tricontinental,” published in 1967, Che wrote “Vietnam, a nation representing the aspirations and hopes for victory of the disinherited of the world, is tragically alone. This people must endure the pounding of U.S. technology — in the south almost without defenses, in the north with some possibilities of defense — but always alone. The solidarity of the progressive world with the Vietnamese peoples has something of the bitter irony of the plebians cheering on the gladiators in the Roman Circus. To wish the victim success is not enough; one must share his or her fate. One must join that victim in death or in victory.” Che Guevara Reader, Melbourne: Ocean Press, 2003, p. 352.

[6]. Seventeen contributions to this debate are collected in Bertram Silverman, Man and Socialism in Cuba: The Great Debate, New York: Atheneum, 1971. Che’s concluding article in this discussion, “Socialism and Man in Cuba,” is posted at www.marxists.org/archive/guevara/1965/03/man-socialism.htm. A similar collection is available in Spanish from Ocean Press under the title El Gran Debate. For an incisive discussion of Che’s economic thought, see Carlos Tablada, Che Guevara: Economics and Politics in the Transition to Socialism. New York: Pathfinder Press, 1989.

[7]. The decline of General Motors since the 1960s suggests that its internal regime may have been less optimal than Che suggests and may have suffered from some ills analogous to those of the Stalinist Soviet economy.

[8]. See volumes 33, 36, 42, and 45 of the edition of Lenin’s Collected Works published by Progress Publishers in Moscow in the 1960s or go to www.marxists.org. These writings are collected in Lenin’s Final Fight, New York: Pathfinder Press, 1995.

Sunday, June 8, 2008

Armed With a Pen, and Ready to Save the Incas’ Mother Tongue

SIMON ROMERO often uses his pen and inkwell to connect the dots of Andres Oppenheimer’s Miami Herald advice for saving Indo-Black-Latin America for the gringos. But here he leaves behind his ideological mandate and offers New York Times readers a glimpse of an important struggle – to defend and promote indigenous languages. In this case, Quechua. His article is framed as a profile of one of the veterans of the movement to promote this important tongue. Hence it is limited and does not attempt to describe the broader grassroots forces -- the troops of this battle against those in Peru who would like to disappear Quechua culture, or limit it to the tourist circuit. Among them are powerful members of the ruling class and state.

Felipe Stuart

Managua


June 7, 2008

THE SATURDAY PROFILE

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/07/world/americas/07tupac.html?ref=americas

Armed With a Pen, and Ready to Save the Incas’ Mother Tongue

By SIMON ROMERO

CALLAO, Peru

“SOMEWHERE in La Mancha, in a place whose name I do not care to remember, a gentleman lived not long ago.”

Simple enough, right? But not for Demetrio Túpac Yupanqui.


Instead, he regales visitors to his home here in this gritty port city on Lima’s edge with his Quechua version of the opening words of “Don Quixote”: “Huh k’iti, la Mancha llahta suyupin, mana yuyarina markapin, yaqa kay watakuna kama, huh axllasqa wiraqucha.”

Mr. Túpac Yupanqui, theologian, professor, adviser to presidents and, now, at the sunset of his long life, a groundbreaking translator of Cervantes, greets the perplexed reactions to these words with a wide smile.

Demetrio Túpac Yupanqui (Tomas Munita for The New York Times)

“When people communicate in Quechua, they glow,” said Mr. Túpac Yupanqui, who at 85 still appears before his pupils each day in a tailored dark suit. “It is a language that persists five centuries after the conquistadors arrived. We cannot let it die.”

Once the lingua franca of the Inca empire, Quechua has long been in decline. But thanks to Mr. Túpac Yupanqui and others, Quechua, which remains the most widely spoken indigenous language in the Americas, is winning some new respect.

Mr. Túpac Yupanqui’s elegant translation of a major portion of “Don Quixote” has been celebrated as a pioneering development for Quechua, which in many far-flung areas remains an oral language. While the Incas spoke Quechua, they had no written alphabet, leaving perplexed archaeologists to wonder how they managed to assemble and run an empire without writing.

SINCE the Spanish conquest, important writing in Quechua has emerged, but linguists and Quechua speakers hope that the new version of “Don Quixote” will be a step toward forming a public culture in the language, through Quechua magazines, television and books, that will keep its speakers engaged with the wider world.

After centuries of retreat in the Andes, Mr. Túpac Yupanqui’s efforts in fortifying Quechua, through teaching and translating, are being complemented by various other ventures.

Microsoft has released translations of its software in Quechua, recognizing the importance of five million or so speakers of the language in Peru and millions elsewhere in the Andes, mainly in Bolivia and Ecuador. Not to be outdone, Google has a version of its search engine in Quechua even if some linguists say that these projects were carried out more for corporate image polishing than for practical reasons.

The workings of Andean democracy are also reminding the world of Quechua’s importance. The government of President Evo Morales of Bolivia, for instance, is trying to make fluency in Quechua or another indigenous language mandatory in the civil service.

Here in Peru, two legislators from the highlands have begun using Quechua on the floor of congress. And President Alan García signed a law prohibiting discrimination based on language, even though its precise workings remain unclear.

These are small steps for a language threatened by the dominance of both Spanish and English amid Peru’s feverish link-up with the global economy following a bloody civil war in the last decades of the 20th century. Few people have toiled as long and hard as Mr. Túpac Yupanqui to give Quechua a fighting chance to survive a few centuries longer.

Mr. Túpac Yupanqui’s fascination with languages began in Cuzco, once the administrative center of the Incas, where he learned Latin and Greek as a young seminarian. He quickly seized on the importance of his native Quechua while traveling with priests to rural areas where they used the language in their sermons.

The son of a local politician, he was born in one of those highland villages, San Jerónimo, where Quechua surnames are common: Pachacútec, Sinchi Roca, Lloque Yupanqui and, of course, his own, Túpac Yupanqui, which is thought to illustrate lineage to Inca royalty. (Another esteemed Quechua name, that of Túpac Amaru, the Inca leader who led a 16th century rebellion against the Spanish, served as the inspiration for the name of Tupac Shakur, the rapper and actor who died in a drive-by shooting in 1996.)

Mr. Túpac Yupanqui might have remained in the highlands if not for a youthful philosophical quandary about Europeanized rational thought and spreading the word of God, which led him to abandon his clerical studies. “I simply decided that speaking about Descartes was not going to serve the Andean world,” he said.

So he moved to Lima and took up journalism. In the 1950s, he began writing a column for La Prensa, then an influential newspaper. He wrote often about the richness and subtleties of Quechua, a language long scorned by the light-skinned coastal elite.

Interest in his columns encouraged him to open Yachay Wasi, or “House of Learning,” an academy for studying Quechua, in the mid-1960s. The timing was propitious.

In 1968, a group of leftist military officers led by Gen. Juan Velasco Alvarado staged a coup. General Velasco’s government, an anomaly in an era when right-wing dictators ruled much of South America, promoted equal rights for indigenous groups and decreed Quechua to be on an equal legal footing with Spanish.

The classroom of Mr. Túpac Yupanqui, who was asked in 1975 to translate Peru’s national anthem into Quechua, bulged at the time with students from Peru and afar. He taught military officers, civil servants and a few foreign adventurers who took an interest in Peru’s indigenous peasants.

BUT three decades after the leftist generals made Quechua an official language, little linguistically is remembered by Spanish-speaking city folk about the Velasco years, which ended in 1975.

“A language cannot become official if a country is unprepared to train its schoolteachers to lecture in it,” said Mr. Túpac Yupanqui, who advised General Velasco on some of the policies. “No language is given life through something as fleeting as a decree.”

Mr. Túpac Yupanqui soldiered on after that earlier idealistic push for Quechua. After a stint in politics as spokesman for President Fernando Belaúnde Terry in the early 1980s, he returned to teaching Quechua at his one-room academy on the second floor of his home, where he still lives with some of his nine children.

He also continued making translations into Quechua, completing in 2006 his work on “Don Quixote,” a rare accomplishment in what has essentially been an oral language for more than a thousand years.

“The translation of ‘Quixote’ is important not as a curiosity, but as a sign of what is to be done on a broader scale in the Andean republics if Quechua speakers are to be brought fully into their respective national communities,” said Bruce Mannheim, an anthropologist at the University of Michigan who specializes in Quechua.

Indeed, the intricacies of the translation were celebrated by linguists and literary critics alike, recognizing the challenges involved in translating the antiquated Spanish of Cervantes into a living language that, somewhat like Chinese or Arabic, has diverging dialects that can be mutually unintelligible.

Mr. Túpac Yupanqui’s eyes still light up when he discusses the grammar of Quechua (seven pronouns!) and what can be done to make it more resilient, like more radio projects and teaching it in schools alongside English.

“If Latin is said to be the language of the angels, then Quechua is the language for expressing the subtleties of existence on Earth,” he said. “That is why it is still alive.”

Saturday, June 7, 2008

What alternative do President Daniel Ortega's opponents propose for Nicaragua?


In February, the rift between the Sandinista Renovation Movement (MRS)[1] and the Movement for the Recovery of Sandinismo (MpRS or the Rescate Group)[2] began to widen and become more public. Although still in an electoral alliance, the Rescate Group (whose main leaders are Comandantes Henry Ruiz and Mónica Baltodano) has made clear its disagreement with the MRS policy of trying the embrace the Nicaraguan Liberal Alliance Party (ALN) and Eduardo Montealegre in some kind of electoral alliance or ‘movement against the dictatorship’ (meaning the Ortega presidency). Montealegre’s decision to run as Managua mayoralty candidate for Arnoldo Alemán’s Constitutional Liberal Party (PLC) has put the skids to any electoral MRS alliance with him and the ALN that he formerly led. The ALN is now tangoing with the FSLN.

The MpRS is endorsing the MRS candidates in the November municipal elections, but it is apparent that differences continue to surface between these allies.

One factor that will bring them closer is solidarity with the MRS whose legality is under review and challenged by the Supreme Electoral Council. Many Sandinistas, including this writer, are opposed to any move to deny minority parties legal status and hence the right to contest elections. The MpRS has vigorously protested the threat to deprive the MRS party of its legal standing.[3]

In February the MpRS youth movement published a manifesto sharply criticizing the MRS effort to draw Eduardo Montealegre into an electoral alliance. The MpRS followed up with a statement stating their opposition to any electoral alliance or collaboration with Montealegre. They pointed out that in the 1996 elections Montealegre was the choice of the bankers and the US Embassy, and that he represents the transnationals and their grand schema for “free trade” in our region.

World acclaimed author and leading MRS supporter Giacondi Belli replied to the MpRS youth statement. Reporter Sergio Aguirre wrote in a February 29 article in the Managua daily El Nuevo Diario that Belli dismissed the youth statement as “arrogant.” “We live in a difficult era when even the purest, if they come to power, would have to make compromises…” She argued that the priority for left Nicaraguans, Renovados or Rescatados, is to block the consolidation of the Ortega-Murillo dictatorship, which she predicted is certain to happen if the FSLN wins the November municipal elections.

Belli recalled that the FSLN made such alliances in the fight to defeat the Somoza dictatorship in 1978-79 – implying that the Ortega “dictatorship” is just as bad as Somoza’s was, and that a similar struggle is now necessary to oust Ortega. She added that an alliance with Eduardo Montealegre “is not suicide, but on the contrary is something that will enable us to keep on being an active element within Nicaraguan society and to grow.”

It should be noted that Belli may have changed her mind since Montealegre about faced and went back to Arnoldo Alemán’s PLC, tail between his legs, towing a showy Movement for Eduardo in his wake. But, by the very logic of her argument, Belli is affirming that the MRS is prepared to ally with anyone who wants to unite to topple the “dictatorship.” Recently MRS leaders have warned that alleged anti democratic actions of the government combined with growing misery and hunger could lead to the kind of violence that Somoza had to cope with. Dangerous talk, to say the least.

Rescate Group (MpRS) leaders Henry Ruiz and Mónica Baltodano are hard pressed to argue this point because they share the view that Ortega has set out to consolidate a family dictatorship and they insist that it is a priority to stop them in their tracks.[4]

Below is a blog from a Sandinista journalist – Domingo Quilez [5] – posed on the website of Radio La Primerisima. which takes up the question "What alternative do these government opponents have?"

I largely agree with Domingo but think he should have made more distinction between the different forces he is criticizing. He should avoid painting them with the same brush.

Nevertheless they must all answer to the inevitable outcome of their campaigns to oust or defeat the Ortega government. It is not Mónica Baltodano or Dora María Téllez [3] who will replace Daniel if the “joint opposition” succeed in toppling his presidency, but someone of the US Embassy’s choosing. They will have to answer for that not just to the immediate victims among the poor and the youth, but also to our allies in ALBA and in movements such as the supporters of Ecuador’s President Correa. And more importantly, from their point of view, to history.

Felipe Stuart C.
Managua

For a more extended critique of the MRS and MpRS approach see my article Nicaragua: A Sharp Left Turn, found at

http://www.monthlyreview.org/mrzine/cournoyer020408.html

Or on this Blog site at

http://aynicaraguanicaraguita.blogspot.com/2008/04/nicaragua-sharp-left-turn.html


Translation of Domingo Quilez's blog is by Felipe Stuart, June 5, 2008.
_______________________________________________________________________

What’s the alternative if the opposition topples the government?

By Domingo Quilez [5]

June 2, 2008

[The original Spanish text can be found at http://www.radiolaprimerisima.com/blogs/58]

Nicaragua cannot be saved by politicians who represent the exploiting classes, the landlords, big commerce, the magnates of industry, nor by the press which defends them. It is not man that made man a beast of burden. Man must create a new world.”

Carlos Fonseca Amador [6]


Eighteen months ago, overjoyed, we celebrated the electoral victory of the FSLN. We shared our joy with everyone in the poorest barrios of Managua who hit the streets to celebrate the return of the FSLN to government. We especially felt joy for all those thousands of compas (comrades) who waited 16 years for this moment, for all those who after dedicating their whole lives to the cause had felt a sense of frustration, of being cheated, that history had betrayed them.

For them, for us, and for those who are no longer here, we toasted that moment, although our joy had more to do with sentiments, emotions, and memories than with political identification with the FSLN leadership.

For 16 years we witnessed how all the revolutionary conquests for which we struggled were dismantled (often with the consent of FSLN leaders). So this electoral victory supposedly cancelled the debt (not all) that history has with the poorest Sandinistas, with those who never asked [the revolution] for anything in return.

We shared little or nothing with the Sandinista leadership at that moment in November 2006.

At the 1998 Sandinista Congress Daniel Ortega decided to ally with the business sector of the Frente, with the goal of getting into government at whatever cost. Ever since we have thought that the FSLN had converted itself into one more party of the system. From that point on the Frente took on the capitalist stands of Sandinista businessmen (among them the late Herty Lewites). It threw all its chips on the electoral game, and making pacts for quotas of political and economic power with the Nicaraguan liberal oligarchy in exchange for paralyzing social mobilization and not undermining the policies imposed by international economic entities (IMF, World Bank) – much like in any “civilized and democratic” country. Investment, social peace, judicial and constitutional power is shared among the most important political forces; an electoral system is maintained in which minority groups are disappearing (notwithstanding their abundance); and state institutions are shared out to those who have money – today is for you, tomorrow for me! This goes on in any European country and also in the USA; and in all the capitalist pseudo democracies around us. It’s part of the system of capitalist law and order.

Of course, this all happened with the blessing and support of the MRS from 2000 until 2005.

With that background, we sensed our joy would not last long, and that very soon we would have to criticize Daniel [Ortega’s] government for carrying on with the neoliberal policies that had brought the country to ruin.

Given what the former governments had bequeathed us, we applauded the first measures in education and health; we congratulated the government for its soundest decisions either economic or political,such as Nicaragua’s entry into ALBA [7].

We were confident that some of the social programs that were being announced and set in motion could bring about an improvement in the situation of those most in need.

Even so, there are things about this government that we neither share nor understand. The fact that the derogation of therapeutic abortion still stands enrages us, makes us indignant, and seems to us to be a crime.

The “goose/gander” (ambiguous) position held on questions like Unión FENOSA [8] and the Cenis [9] worries us.

We do not understand why no new tax legislation has been presented that would make the richest pay more.

And all the government’s religious paraphernalia bores and angers us.

Certainly, also, it seems to us a great stupidity and grave political error, if this is confirmed in the end, to deprive the MRS of its legal status so it cannot run in the coming municipal election. But it is still to be seen if this will happen, although some have already censured the government over this issue.

But even though we do not share many things with this government, nothing compares with the disgust and repugnance that this whole strategy of harassment of and efforts to topple the government, begun even before it assumed power, provoke in us.

It makes us reject the resentful political game, often dishonest and almost always manipulative, opportunist, defamatory, and selling out the country, played by the right, the reactionary communications media, and self-proclaimed progressives, some NGOs and representatives of “Civil Society” (if we only knew what this means and who they represent!), and by so many men and women comrades who are in other political and social organizations.

But this rejection is not because they may be right or wrong -- in some cases they are correct – but because since the first minute this government came to power they have given it no truce; they have never supported a decision even though it could have benefited the most needy. Their only strategy seems to be to topple the government no matter the cost.

They repeat chewed over lies like the fable of the “dictatorship” or the lack of free expression; they invent false news like the lack of confidence of cooperants and investors; they ally with and allow themselves to be bribed by the gringos, the worst enemy of humanity – anything to help topple the government. All sectors of the opposition are employing the same strategy they accuse the government of having – “anything can be resorted to.”

And all this for what? What alternative do they all have?

None. More neoliberalism, more inequality, more corruption, more slaving sweat shops, more strategic plans and sociological studies carried out with support from cooperation agencies to again gather statistics about how bereft we are, and, of course, to support a state of law and order that serves those who have wealth.

During 17 years of neoliberal governments they supposedly opened the gates to the big investors, strategic sectors were privatized in the name of the free market, democracy, and efficiency. And this great manna for the poor unemployed emerged – maquilas [sweatshops]. Moreover, the NGOs as a consequence of their great negotiating capacity as “representatives” of the poor have received millions of dollars for their programs, their studies, the strategic plans, and their mini or larger scale projects. Laws have been approved and spaces opened so they can participate and make proposals.

And what is the result?

During Doña Violeta’s [Chamorro] government, 5% of the population captured 35% of the national income. All state industrial and agricultural enterprises were liquidated. Life expectancy went down from 66 years in 1988 to 59.6 in 1996. Per capital annual health expenditures fell from $35 in 1989 to $14 in 1995. In 1992, 21% of the school-age population failed to enroll in schools. In 1996 credit for small producers was reduced by 87%. Tariffs and internal taxes were lifted in favor of foreign production.

Arnoldo Alemán’s government came to power via fraudulent elections. Cronyism, corruption, servility, systematic violation of laws – that some now so often protest – were constants of his government. His personal fortune went up by 900%. Eight-six percent of the population lived in poverty, 57 percent in extreme poverty, and 29% were destitute. He laid the bases for his successor to sell off at ridiculous prices the state electricity and telephone utilities, and he pillaged the public purse.

Bolaños, using funds stolen by his predecessor for his election campaign, came to govern. It was the government most servile to the interests of the USA and the international organizations. The economic improvement that was often heralded, and that some “renovation” leaders [a reference to the Sandinista Renovation Movement] applauded, was not a result of increased production or exports, but rather the product of external aid that came to Nicaragua because of Hurricane Mitch, and from family remittances from emigrants. Even with all that aid, according to the UN World Food Program (WFP), in 2006 Nicaragua was the second poorest country in the Americas with 1.5 million starving people, 27% of the population.

Do they want to go back to that? Is that the alternative they want for Nicaraguans? What have all those millions of international cooperation dollars been used for, that according to journalistic news no longer are being sent here because of the ‘tyrannical” government of Daniel Ortega. In what way has the situation of the people improved over the last 17 years?

Not at all. The poor are more raked over and the rich are richer. Ah! And a new class – the class of those working for international agencies and organizations.

We are convinced that we have to criticize this government, and even mobilize ourselves to make it comply with its obligations to the most disfavored sectors. But even with its errors, stupidities and ideological madness, it is much closer to the problems of the people than any of its predecessor governments – and much preferable to the alternatives proposed from the opposition.

But it is not only against the government that we have to mobilize. Also against the private enterprisers be they Liberals, Sandinistas, or Renovators (who also have them) who continue to pay miserable salaries, but demand stability. Against the transnationals who buy for two bits the patrimony of all Nicaraguans, treating us as third-hand merchandise. Against the bank owners who continue to lard their current accounts. Against all these money bags, whoever they may be, who pass by calmly in their SUVs, showing off and fancying their wealth.

We mobilize together with women not only for restitution of the right to therapeutic abortion, but for the legalization of women’s right to access no-cost abortion services as a matter of their free choice.

From that outlook, we add our numbers to popular mobilizations against the powerful, whether they are in government, in the opposition, or gain mega salaries from some NGO.

We join together with campesinos to demand better social services in the countryside, support for production, and why not, to go back to carrying out an Agrarian Reform that will return to many campesinos lands that were stolen from them over these years by bankers and landlords.

We join with men and women health and education workers, the police and other state officials so their wages will at least cover the basic family food basket, even if we burst the state budget and fail to comply with the International Monetary Fund. Together with Costeño men and women so that at last they can become owners of their own destiny and not puppets of the political and economic interests from the Pacific.
Together with the men and women sweatshop workers to enforce compliance of their labor rights and so they get a dignified wage, even though the sacred investors will get less profit.

And of course, we mobilize here and now together with the NOBODIES, with those with nothing, with the residents of the Acahualinca garbage dump. According to prudent analysts of the communications media and NGOs, it seems that since their latest mobilizations they don’t even have the right to protest; their only future is to keep on rummaging through other people’s garbage.

Will the owners of the communications media, the “social leaders” from some NGOs, or the leaders of the Renovators back the demands [of those sectors] and participate in their protests? I think not.

For them, all the racket only makes sense if it is aimed to defeat the government; but they seem indisposed to change the criminal economic and social system, and lose the privileges that many of them have.

________________________________________________________________

1. MRS – the Sandinista Renovation Movement, a political party that resulted from a breakaway of many FSLN leaders in the mid nineties. Its orientation and approach are social democratic in its Latin American version. They are known as the “Renovadores,” to distinguish them from the Movimiento por el Rescate del Sandinismo (MpRS—Sandinista Recovery Movement) that also goes by the names Grupo Rescate and is often just called the “Rescates.”

2. MpRS -- Movimiento por el Rescate del Sandinismo (Movement for the Recovery of Sandinismo). Founded by the late Herty Levites and various other leading FSLN members who left or were expelled from the FSLN. See Endnote 1.

3. Dora Maria Tellez, a key MRS leader and founder, is currently in the fourth day of a hunger strike to protest the Electoral Council’s move against the MRS and three other small parties. There has been widespread opposition to any decision to deny these parties formal or legal status.

There is a a disturbing irony to this story described by Oscar Marín who posts blogs on Radio La Primerisima. He points out in his current blog that Dora Maria Tellez is the original promoter of the undemocratic law under which her party may now lose its legal standing [see “MRS debe asumir su situación con dignidad,” at http://www.radiolaprimerisima.com/blogs/60 ]. He argues that Dora Maria Tellez, Sergio Ramirez Mercado [former Sandinista Vice President of Nicaragua in the 80s], and Luis Humberto Guzman formed their own “pact” to eliminate two electoral rivals, and accomplished this goal as part of the 1995 Constitutional Reform. His conclusion, however, cannot be supported. He says the MRS leaders, because of this questionable history of rigging the electoral law in 1995, should now take their own medicine “with dignity.” I argue that they are correct to defy this law and any attempt to deregister he MRS as a recognized and legal political party. This reactionary law allows the National Assembly and the Supreme Electoral Council to decide which groups can be recognized parties. It is only through struggle that it can be overturned.

4. See the PROCLAMA del RESCATE, 27 de Enero de 2008.

5. The Nicaragua Network Hotline (February 12, 2008) publisheed an English-anguage summary of an earlier call by Domingo Quilez for Sandinista unity.

Journalist calls on Sandinistas to unite to achieve social change

"In a recent article published on Radio La Primerisima’s website (www.radiolaprimerisima.com), journalist Domingo Quilez emphasized the need for all those political parties, NGOS, social movements and other sectors which were born out of Sandinismo and are dedicated to working for social justice to unite in order to achieve true social change in Nicaragua. “The only way to bring an end to social injustice in Nicaragua is to change the economic system that generates it,” says Quilez. “Neither the government, nor the Sandinista Renovation Movement (MRS), nor the NGO sector, nor social movements can do that on their own.”

"He went on: “How is it possible that the FSLN can make pacts, negotiate and even reconcile with Cardinal Miguel Obando, the [Constitutional Liberal Party] inner circle and so many other enemies of the revolution but cannot sit down, talk and reach agreements with the MRS or the Sandinista social movements?
“How is it possible that [he MRS [and other Sandinista organizations and movements opposed to the government] can describe the current government as a dictatorship, talk about a lack of freedom of expression in the country … and participate with Somocista individuals and organizations in the “Block Against the Dictatorship? Are they unable to admit that there have been some advances … in health care, education and workers’ rights [under the FSLN government]?

“I am convinced that there are women and men in the current government who are working for social, political and economic change in benefit of the people and that within the Sandinista opposition and organizations there are also people working towards these changes. Will it be possible for them to come together and, united, build a Nicaragua where everyone can fully enjoy our national wealth, where economic rights are considered an essential aspect of human rights and where the exploitation of the majority by the minority is brought to an end? More than a desire, it is a necessity.” See http://www.nicanet.org/?p=461

A google search turn up much more, but in Spanish of course.

6. Carlos Fonseca Amador (June 23, 1936–November 7, 1976), was a Nicaraguan teacher and founder of the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN). Fonseca was later killed in the mountains of Nicaragua, three years before the FSLN took power. See
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carlos_Fonseca


7. ALBA – Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas – an organization based on the principles of Caribbean And Latin American unity, fare trade, and solidarity among its member countries. It was launched by Cuba, Bolivia, and Venezuela, and later joined by Nicaragua days after Ortega’s election in November 2006.

8. Union FENOSA is a Spanish corporation that managed to buy off the electricity distribution system for a song during the previous government period. Most Nicaraguans hate it. Calls for its nationalization are widespread and loud.

9. CENIS is a reference to bonds issued to guarantee the savings of clients of several banks that “failed” in the opening years of the new century. This led to a dramatic increase in Nicaragua’s internal debt, one that carries high interest rates compared to those attached to foreign loans In the process of issuing these bonds a massive fraud was enacted in which over $600 million was shared out to a few leading bankers in the country – illegally. The State Prosecutor reports that charges are now pending against numerous (as yet unidentified) persons involved in the fraud.

Wednesday, April 9, 2008

Worst financial crisis since Depression, says IMF


"Closed due to housing crisis"

Governments will have to pay for more bailouts, says Fund as it slashes growth forecasts and warns of global recession

Heather Stewart

The Guardian, Thursday April 10 2008

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/apr/10/useconomy.subprimecrisis


The US mortgage crisis has spiralled into "the largest financial shock since the Great Depression" and there is a one-in-four chance that it will cause a full-blown global recession, the International Monetary Fund warned yesterday.

As finance ministers and central bankers arrived in Washington to discuss ways of tackling the crisis, the IMF warned, in its twice-yearly World Economic Outlook, that governments might be forced to step in with more public bailouts of troubled banks and cash-strapped homeowners before the crisis was over.

"The financial market crisis that erupted in August 2007 has developed into the largest financial shock since the Great Depression, inflicting heavy damage on markets and institutions at the core of the financial system," it said.

After warning this week that the world's financial firms could end up shouldering $1trn (£500bn) of losses from the credit crunch, the IMF said it expected the US to experience a "mild recession", notching up GDP growth of 0.5% in 2008 and 0.6% in 2009. It expects house prices to fall by up to a further 10% before the downturn is over.

With the US sliding into such a recession, there is mounting pessimism about the ability of the rest of the world to escape unscathed. The IMF shaved its forecast for growth in the global economy by half a percentage point, to 3.7% for this year, and by 0.6% - to 3.8% - for 2009.

Although the Washington-based body expects most emerging economies to continue to grow strongly over the next two years, it admits that efforts to tackle the knock-on effects of the credit crunch could be hampered by fast-growing commodity prices. "Inflation has picked up around the globe, mainly reflecting sharp increases in food and energy prices," it said.

In the US, President Bush has already signed off a $150bn tax rebate package to kick-start the US economy, and the Federal Reserve last month backed an extraordinary emergency buyout of the investment bank Bear Stearns.

However, the IMF said more taxpayers' cash may still need to be spent to unblock the markets. "Given the serious risks coming from sustained financial market dislocations, the recent legislation to provide additional fiscal support for an economy under stress is fully justified, and room may need to be found for some additional support for housing and financial markets."

Simon Johnson, IMF research director, presenting the report in Washington, described such bailouts as an essential "third line of defence", after interest rate and tax cuts, for governments struggling to prevent a deep recession.

He said the main risk to the global economy over the next year was the emergence of a vicious circle, as house prices continued to fall, dealing a fresh blow to the world's banks, and creating a damaging feedback loop.

"Sentiment in financial markets has improved in recent weeks since the Federal Reserve's strong actions with regard to investment banks. But we have seen how strains in markets can quickly become reinforcing, and the possibility of a negative spiral or 'financial decelerator' remains a possibility," he warned.

The IMF's downbeat analysis creates a gloomy backdrop for policymakers arriving in Washington to discuss ways of easing the credit squeeze. Such is the concern about problems in the financial markets that a range of radical options is on the table. These include greater disclosure of losses on sub-prime assets by banks; firmer regulation of credit-rating agencies, and - more controversially - plans for taking some of the risky mortgage-backed assets at the heart of the crisis on to government balance sheets. Alistair Darling, the chancellor, is calling for a detailed plan to be agreed over the weekend.


The IMF backed more comprehensive disclosure by banks. "We fully support the move towards greater disclosure," Johnson said. "We think that marking to market [rating assets on current market values, not book values] and continuing to recognise losses is an important part of how the financial system operates."

The US Federal Reserve has cut US interest rates by a hefty 3 percentage points to 2.25% since the crisis began, in an attempt to restore confidence and turn the credit taps back on. The IMF welcomed the Fed's approach but said it would not be enough to prevent recession.



"Adverse financial conditions are likely to have a continuing negative impact on activity in the United States, notwithstanding the Federal Reserve's strong response," it said. "The United States remains plagued by profound errors in risk management."

The value of the dollar has plunged to record lows in the past year as the outlook for the US economy has darkened, but the IMF said the greenback still "remains somewhat on the strong side".


No bounce after the hard landing

Alistair Darling's forecast that Britain will bounce back from the credit crunch by next year now looks hopelessly optimistic, according to an authoritative assessment by the International Monetary Fund.

Just a month ago, in the budget, the Treasury had pencilled in 2% GDP growth this year and 2.5% in 2009 as the economy recovers, but yesterday the Washington-based IMF predicted far weaker growth of 1.6% both years.


The chancellor has said repeatedly that Britain is "better placed" to weather the storm because of its low unemployment and flexible labour market, but the IMF calculates that the housing market is overvalued by up to 30% and faces a damaging correction.


"The housing market is going to be a drag on the economy," said Charles Collyns, a senior IMF economist. "We do see house prices softening already, and we see potential that the housing correction will continue, with an impact on consumption. We also see the UK being affected by the tightening of the financial constraints related to the turmoil in the financial markets."

He added that the knock-on effects of weak growth in the US and the eurozone would also depress growth.

House prices fell 2.5% last month, Halifax said, and the IMF says the wider economy will be hit hard as overstretched banks repair balance sheets and borrowers face tighter loan conditions and higher interest rates. In January, when it last updated forecasts, the IMF was expecting expansion of 2.4% in 2009, but the longer the credit crunch continues, the more threatened the UK economy has become. Darling said yesterday that the downgrade was "not surprising" and the economy was "extremely strong".

Heather Stewart